What united Mwalimu with JK in his recent reflections is that their
respective positions start from rising numbers of youths seeking for
jobs, with Mwalimu being essentially a problem of school leavers seeking
white collar jobs which he felt the national economy could not possibly
deliver, at least not to expectations. In the case of JK it is more or
less the same thing but writ large, that large population numbers put
pressure on national resources, which is chiefly a matter of feeding the
population but also job opportunities. The difference is that the
problem for policy makers is no longer ex-Standard VIII finishers but
graduate unemployment.
While in the case of rising demand for white collar jobs Mwalimu
sought a genuine solution in changing attitudes of those going through
primary and middle school (at that time), to direct their imagination to
village life, no such solutions can even be imagined with regard to
rising population. At most this sadness on the part of the president
would ignite heightened activities of all sorts of birth control
leaflets and vending antiquated medicine for women to stop pregnancies,
touching off all sorts of harmful effects including incurable cancers
and other tissue breakdowns. Ordinarily it is pro-choice (abortion,
contraceptive) propaganda which gets plenty of airtime and space in
newspapers, the 'mefaits,' drawbacks, are silently skipped.
The problem is how far we are with Mwalimu's 1967 worries and the
solution he brought up, and examining the 45 year record since then, how
far the worries raised by President Kikwete in much the same vein are
founded, and what practical needs or methods exist to resolve the
problem, if it can be verified to exist. For one thing, there isn't much
difference between worrying about school leavers and prospects for
employment, and worrying about population levels, food security and
social services. The two can be called 'birds of a feather,' and hence
they have the same logic (of a section of the population whose hopes are
diminishing, vs population as a whole, whose hopes may according to JK
diminish if care is not taken), which also means that what we know of
ESR since 1967 applies to population at present.
The
president regularly warns local people not to sell land to investors,
and meanwhile Premier Mizengo Pinda champions Kilimo Kwanza, whose
'pearl' in the strategy is welcoming agribusiness especially in
biofuels, which is equally a misnomer. But more importantly as to his
latest reflections, if indeed there is a problem of a rising population,
the solution is not US destructive and cancer causing contraceptive
pills and ballooning young women's deaths due to abortions but open
market economy.
When most land has been bought by local and foreign investors and
agriculture is modernised while handicraft takes that place of hand hoe
as the main occupation, as many more goods will be needed, population
trends will start coming down. The Harris-Todaro model works on the
basis of a proper market economy, while Malthusian sentiments and US
abortionists constantly seek to 'plan' the population, and they harvest
only death; only industrial growth and universalisation of women
employment radically influences population growth.
SOURCE:
THE GUARDIAN
No comments:
Post a Comment